Chart of the day
Is the year's biggest pharma deal in trouble?
Shares of Seagen have fallen about 3% this week and are trading near their lowest levels since Pfizer signed a deal to buy the company for $43 billion back in March, a sign investors are increasingly concerned the FTC will intervene in the merger.
As of yesterday, Seagen's stock is worth 15% less than Pfizer's binding offer to buy the company for $229 per share. In light of the FTC's lawsuit to block Amgen from buying Horizon Pharmaceuticals, analysts at TD Cowen surveyed 31 investors and found that about 40% expect the government to take a similar approach to Pfizer's acquisition of Seagen, but more than 80% predicted the deal would still close within 12 months.
We should find out soon enough. Earlier this month, Pfizer refiled its merger paperwork to give the FTC more information about the deal, starting a 30-day countdown clock for the agency to review the proposal. That means that by July 14, the FTC will either approve the merger or request yet more information, which would suggest a protracted process ahead.
Psychedelics
What happens when an MDMA evangelist has to turn a profit?
Rick Doblin, who founded the non-profit MAPS to prove the therapeutic potential of MDMA, is closer than ever to his decades-in-the-making goal of convincing the FDA to approve it as a treatment for post-traumatic stress disorder. But the immense cost of developing a medicine and getting it to market has led to changes in MAPS's counter-cultural ethos, pushing its charismatic founder into the background.
As STAT's Olivia Goldhill reports, MAPS profit-seeking arm, which was once 100% owned by the broader non-profit, recently started accepting private donations to help fund its drug development. And the group has seemingly abandoned its long-held aversion to patenting its discoveries.
Doblin, who remains a major figure in the world of therapeutic psychedelics, quietly gave up the role of executive director after holding it for 37 years. He now faces challenges over important decisions and must answer to investors for the first time.
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Vaccines
After a 100-year wait, a new tuberculosis vaccine is moving forward
The Gates Foundation is funding a massive trial of a GSK-invented vaccine for tuberculosis that could become the first preventive weapon against the deadly infection in more than a century.
As STAT's Jason Mast reports, the vaccine is called M72/AS01, and it pairs a tuberculosis protein with an adjuvant meant to prime an immune response. The Gates Medical Research Institute, an affiliate of the foundation, is plotting a 26,000-person, Phase 3 study to begin next year, testing whether the vaccine can prevent people with latent tuberculosis — an infection with no symptoms — from progressing to full-blown disease.
The Gates Foundation, which also funded early research into the vaccine, has committed $400 million to the trial, and the U.K.'s Wellcome Trust is committing up to an additional $150 million. The trial will take place across more than 50 sites in Africa and Asia and likely take four to six years to complete, the foundation said.
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