Biotech
Did Pfizer miss a multibillion-dollar opportunity?
Yesterday, Sanofi agreed to pay up to $1.5 billion for a 50% share of an in-development autoimmune treatment. Earlier this year, Merck paid about $11 billion for a company developing a similar medicine. Each deal serves as a reminder that Pfizer, which had a competing drug in its own pipeline, chose to all but give it away in 2022.
The common thread is TL1A, a bodily protein linked to inflammation and tissue scarring. Targeting TL1A seems to hold promise for treating a host of inflammatory disorders, including ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease, which is why Sanofi and Merck spent all that money.
Pfizer, by contrast, granted the U.S. rights to its TL1A treatment to Roivant Sciences for nothing up front, instead taking a 25% stake in the Roivant subsidiary that will develop it. About a month later, the Roivant drug outperformed expectations in a Phase 2 trial, with results comparable to Prometheus' treatment.
R&D
Moderna's omnibus vaccine is on track
The grand plan for Moderna's future in respiratory viruses is to market a single shot that would protect against Covid-19, influenza, and RSV, using the scalability of mRNA to craft a first-of-its-kind product. And the first step — establishing the promise of its combination flu and Covid vaccine — is moving on as planned.
Yesterday Moderna said its combo shot measured up to established flu and Covid vaccines in generating immune responses against each virus. The next step is to take that combination to Phase 3, which could lead to approval by 2025. At the same time, Moderna is awaiting FDA approval for its RSV vaccine and testing a combination that would protect against all three viruses.
Moderna has projected 2027 respiratory vaccine revenue of between $8 billion and $15 billion, a bullish forecast that will require the company to succeed with its omnibus vaccine. Among the potential challenges are waning demand for Covid boosters and a side effect profile that might lead consumers to opt for other products.
Markets
Sandoz makes a shaky debut after spinoff
After more than a year of corporate plotting, market speculation, and shareholder debate, Novartis' generics division began its life as a standalone company. And the immediate reaction was less than enthusiastic.
Sandoz began trading on the Swiss exchange yesterday, opening at a valuation of about $11 billion. That was below analysts' projections, which ranged from about $12 billion to $25 billion. The problem, one analyst told Bloomberg, is that the market is wary of the volatile world of generics, and Sandoz, which has a deeper pipeline of biosimilars than many of its rivals, will need time to win investors over.
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