adam's biotech scorecard
On the upcoming readout of Xenon's epilepsy drug
Xenon Pharmaceuticals is up next in the parade of stock-moving readouts, STAT's Adam Feuerstein writes in his Biotech Scorecard newsletter (sign up, STAT+ subscribers!) Phase 3 data for its epilepsy drug, azetukalner, are due in March.
The company is running two identical trials, called X-TOLE2, in roughly 360 patients each. It has a straightforward goal in focal onset seizures: To achieve a statistically significant reduction in seizures over 12 weeks. Ideally, the company is looking for something close to the Phase 2b result, where the 25 mg dose cut seizures by 53% versus 18% for placebo and had a 55% response rate.
"Our mantra for X-TOLE2 has been 'just replicate X-TOLE,'" Xenon CEO Ian Mortimer told Adam. "In epilepsy, you do get good consistency and reproducibility across studies, so that should give us confidence going into the readout."
A positive outcome would allow the company to file for U.S. approval by year's end. With about 1.8 million Americans living with focal seizures, half of them inadequately controlled, azetukalner has blockbuster potential in epilepsy alone
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opinion
Why supplement trials rarely deliver clarity
Americans love supplements — roughly three-quarters take them — but most nutraceuticals remain thinly tested. Elise Felicione, an independent clinical research scientist, writes for STAT that she recently attempted to design a rigorous randomized trial for a botanical extract — and came upon five hurdles that got in the way of an effective study.
The sector, she says, sits in an awkward middle ground: companies want pharmaceutical-grade credibility without pharmaceutical-grade budgets. Patents are an issue: Natural ingredients are hard to exclusively own, so investing hundreds of thousands in trials benefits competitors. She also noted that tight budgets shrink sample sizes and make it difficult for follow-up studies, which creates weaker results and dilutes scientific clarity.
"If we want to stop arguing about whether name-your-supplement works, or if it is safe, and start knowing, we need a research ecosystem capable of answering the question realistically, rigorously, and sustainably," Felicione writes.
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